Some people may question my defining Deprival-Superreaction Tendency to include
reaction to profit barely missed, as in the well- documented responses of slot
machine players. However, I believe that I haven’t defined the tendency as
broadly as I should. My reason for suggesting an even broader definition is that
many Berkshire Hathaway shareholders I know never sell or give away a single
share after immense gains in market value have occurred. Some of this reaction
is caused by rational calculation, and some is, no doubt, attributable to some
combination of (1) reward superresponse, (2) “status quo bias” from
Inconsistency-Avoidance Tendency, and (3) “the endowment effect” from Excessive
Self-Regard Tendency. But I believe the single strongest irrational explanation
is a form of Deprival-Super- reaction Tendency. Many of these shareholders
simply can’t stand the idea of having their Berkshire Hathaway holdings smaller.
Partly they dislike facing what they consider an impairment of identity, but
mostly they fear missing out on future gains from stock sold or given away.
Fifteen: Social-Proof Tendency
The otherwise complex behavior of man is much simplified when he automatically
thinks and does what he observes to be thought and done around him. And such
followership often works fine. For instance, what simpler way could there be to
find out how to walk to a big football game in a strange city than by following
the flow of the crowd. For some such reason, man’s evolution left him with
Social-Proof Tendency, an automatic tendency to think and act as he sees others
around him thinking and acting.